Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.052186 0.056627 0.061120 0.066002 0.071148 0.076404 0.082172
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.045556 0.052140 0.059041 0.066788 0.075214 0.084075 0.094071
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.042056 0.050427 0.059470 0.069903 0.081543 0.094070 0.108509
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.035977 0.045253 0.055586 0.067833 0.081840 0.097247 0.115364
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.031805 0.041818 0.053288 0.067216 0.083490 0.101730 0.123543
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.028451 0.039017 0.051442 0.066868 0.085244 0.106185 0.131599
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026966 0.038311 0.051944 0.069177 0.090026 0.114099 0.143648
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025128 0.036993 0.051562 0.070306 0.093325 0.120236 0.153628
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023416 0.035686 0.051070 0.071197 0.096261 0.125902 0.163046
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021306 0.033697 0.049577 0.070717 0.097423 0.129377 0.169819
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020046 0.032745 0.049334 0.071746 0.100400 0.135020 0.179194
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018282 0.030972 0.047904 0.071154 0.101272 0.138039 0.185364
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016936 0.029732 0.047160 0.071463 0.103333 0.142618 0.193593
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015909 0.028880 0.046887 0.072356 0.106126 0.148119 0.202999
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015779 0.029340 0.048422 0.075681 0.112106 0.157672 0.217515
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013902 0.027029 0.045966 0.073512 0.110832 0.158020 0.220533
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012657 0.025599 0.044681 0.072869 0.111510 0.160807 0.226588
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011600 0.024387 0.043641 0.072506 0.112515 0.163987 0.233132
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011383 0.024530 0.044594 0.074951 0.117317 0.172105 0.246006
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010855 0.024114 0.044680 0.076146 0.120420 0.178027 0.256111
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010301 0.023613 0.044606 0.077088 0.123170 0.183496 0.265661
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009444 0.022518 0.043565 0.076581 0.123890 0.186280 0.271747
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009009 0.022143 0.043623 0.077669 0.126817 0.191986 0.281643